Assessment of the reliability of income and expenditure indicators of households in Ukraine. The reasons for the increase in domestic public debt and economic inequality in the country. Determination of the consumer price index for goods and services.
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Institute for Demography and Social Studies National Academy of Science of Ukraine Household consumption expenditures in Ukraine: assessment and distribution analysis N.M. Romanchuk, Researcher, PhD Ptukha Kyiv Introduction Indicators of household incomes and expenditures are momentous since they reflect the effectiveness of socio-economic policy in general and some aspects of economic well-being of people particularly. But there is the issue dealing with reliability of assessments of indicators based on sample survey data: it is considered that results of sample survey hardly represent information concerning some population groups, e. g. well-offs, migrant worker households, marginalized population, shadow employment, etc. Thus, assessment reliability of household incomes and expenditures impacts the assessment accuracy of the important socio-economic indicators, that is monetary inequality indices, Consumer Price Index (hereinafter - CPI), households’ solvency, which are used in the majority of social economic studies, policy effectiveness analysis or in decision making process. The importance of these indicators’ reliable assessment proves the fact that considerable error of the CPI assessment could possibly lead to significant effects. For example, the cumulative systematic overestimation of US CPI (0.8-1.6 %) caused excessive indexation evaluated as US public debt increase by more than 1 trillion US dollars for 12 years [1]. Analysis of recent publications highlights the theoretical aspects of the reliability of sample survey data, approaches to small area estimations, and analysis of expenditures of different population (household) income groups. (2012) examines the theoretical aspects of Ukrainian population incomes and expenditures measurement and analyzes the consumption of goods and services by various welfare groups.
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